Opinion polling, February and March

Here are the opinion polls for the last two months -

		Con	Lab	LDem
20 March 2018	ICM	44	41	8
20 March 2018	Opinium	42	40	6
11 March 2018	Ipsos MORI	43	42	6
11 March 2018	YouGov	41	43	7
11 March 2018	Survation	37	44	9
06 March 2018	ICM	43	42	7
16 February 2018	YouGov	40	41	8
12 February 2018	Opinium	42	39	7
08 February 2018	YouGov	43	39	8
06 February 2018	ICM	41	40	8
06 February 2018	Survation	40	43	8
02 February 2018	YouGov	42	42	6

The average of these gives the Conservatives a small lead.

41.5% Conservative

41.3% Labour

7.3% Liberal Democrat

This would give us another hung Parliament with the Conservatives the largest party.

The prediction :-

299 Conservative

278 Labour

36 SNP

14 Liberal Democrat

Whilst this narrows the gap between the two main parties (from the current 56 seats to 22) it still leaves Labour some way short of being able to form a Government. However, a minority Labour Government (as head of a coalition) is a possibility.

Of course, a General Election is not happening tomorrow, or likely very soon.