Monday, 2 April 2018

Opinion polling, February and March

Here are the opinion polls for the last two months -



Con
Lab
LDem
20 March 2018
ICM
44
41
8
20 March 2018
Opinium
42
40
6
11 March 2018
Ipsos MORI
43
42
6
11 March 2018
YouGov
41
43
7
11 March 2018
Survation
37
44
9
06 March 2018
ICM
43
42
7
16 February 2018
YouGov
40
41
8
12 February 2018
Opinium
42
39
7
08 February 2018
YouGov
43
39
8
06 February 2018
ICM
41
40
8
06 February 2018
Survation
40
43
8
02 February 2018
YouGov
42
42
6

The average of these gives the Conservatives a small lead.

41.5% Conservative
41.3% Labour
7.3% Liberal Democrat

This would give us another hung Parliament with the Conservatives the largest party.

The prediction :-

299 Conservative
278 Labour
36 SNP
14 Liberal Democrat

Whilst this narrows the gap between the two main parties (from the current 56 seats to 22) it still leaves Labour some way short of being able to form a Government. However, a minority Labour Government (as head of a coalition) is a possibility.

Of course, a General Election is not happening tomorrow, or likely very soon.

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