Tuesday, 3 January 2017

November and December, Labour's by-election story






Result
Lab change %
3 Nov
Eastleigh BC
Fair Oak & Horton Heath
LD hold
-4.1

Vale of Glamorgan UA
 Gibbonsdown
Lab hold
-2.2

Aberdeenshire UA
Inverurie & District
Con gain from LD
-13.9

Hackney LB
Hoxton West
Lab hold
+11.6

Medway UA
Rainham Central
Con hold
-2.9

Aberdeenshire UA
Banff & District
Con gain from SNP
N/A

Gloucester CC
Longlevens
Con hold
-8.2

Reigate & Banstead BC
Kingswood with Burgh Heath
Con
-3.2

Lancashire CC
Burnley Central East
Lab hold
+10.7

Cardiff UA
Grangetown
PC gain from Lab
-2.2

Gloucester CC
Longlevens        
Con hold
-8.2

Staveley TC
Woodthorpe
LD gain from Lab


Greenwich LB
Eltham North
Con gain from Lab
+8.9
10 Nov
Shepshed TC
Shepshed East
Con gain from UKIP


Horsham DC
Southwater
Con hold
-2.3

Felixstowe TC

Con hold


Wandsworth LB
Queenstown
Lab hold
+14.2

North Hertfordshire DC
Hitchin Oughton
Lab hold
+17.4
17 Nov
Dumfries & Galloway UA
Annandale North
Con hold
-9.1

Welwyn Hatfield BC
Haldens
Con hold
-3.7

Bath & North East Somerset UA
Abbey
Con gain from Grn
-4.9

Harborough DC
Misterton
Con hold
-1.6
24 Nov
Basingstoke & Deane BC
Tadley South
Con hold
-6.1

Tandridge DC
Valley
LD hold
-6.3

Mansfield DC
Warsop Carrs
Lab hold
-25.3

Pendle BC
Reedley
Con gain from Lab
6.7

Carlisle BC
Castle
Lab hold
+9.0

South Somerset DC
Turn Hill
Con hold
+0.7

Eastbourne BC
Sovereign
Con hold
0.0

Newcastle CC
Blakelaw
Lab hold
-18.3

St Edmundsbury BC
Bardwell
Con hold
N/A
28 Nov
Angus UA
Arbroath East and Lunan
SNP gain from Ind
-9.8
1 Dec
Warwick DC
Myton & Heathcote      
Con hold
+21.3

Shepton Mallet TC
East
LD gain from Ind
N/A

Dorset CC
Ferndown
Con gain from UKIP
-5.6

Crediton TC
Lawrence
LD gain from Ind
N/A

South Northamptonshire DC
Grange Park
Con hold
-3.5

Tower Hamlets LB
Whitechapel
Ind gain from THF
+6.5

Chichester DC
Southbourne
LD gain from Con
+4.8
5 Dec
Angus UA
Carnoustie and District
Ind gain from SNP
+4.4
8 Dec
Maldon DC
Maldon West
Ind gain from Con
+6.4

Newcastle-under-Lyme BC
Madeley
Ind gain from Lab
-35.5

Lancaster BC
University & Scotforth Rural
Lab hold
-0.5

Tonbridge & Malling BC
Trench
Con hold
+1.1

Telford & Wrekin UA
Horsehay & Lightmoor
Lab gain from Con
+22.1

Fife UA, Leven
Kennoway and Largo
SNP Hold


Powys CC
Welshpool Llanerchydol
Ind hold
N/A

St Edmundsbury BC
Moreton Hall
Ind gain from Con
-15.4
15 Dec
Blackdown

LD gain from Con
N/A

Welshpool TC
Castle
Lab win


Kidlington Parish Council
Exeter
LD hold


Teignbridge DC
Bovey
LD gain from Con
-7.4

Teignbridge DC
Chudleigh
LD gain from Con
-8.8

Blackburn with Darwen UA
Higher Croft
Lab hold
-15.7

Brickhill Parish Council
Woodlands Park
LD gain from Ind

21 Dec
Waverley BC
Cranleigh West
Con hold
-14.1
22 Dec
Eastleigh BC
Hedge End Wildern
LD hold
-1.7

Dover DC
Aylesham
Lab hold
-6.4


November and December 2016 were mixed months electorally for Labour, continuing a familiar pattern for them.

The movement in vote percentages in quite telling; I have marked the improvements in bold red. These number less than those showing a decline of the Labour vote. Labour is not heading for a 2020 victory based on these results, but neither is it facing wipe-out. It certainly looks like every vote has to be fought for.

Despite our hugely increased membership there were still six contests with no Labour presence, which is a constant source of annoyance for me.

Here is a summary of how the main parties performed, showing a fine end-of-year for Tim Farron's party


Holds
Gains
Other victories
losses
Liberal Democrat
3
8
0
1
Conservative
16
7
1
7
Labour
11
1
1
5
UKIP
0
0
0
2
Green
0
0
0
1

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