Wednesday, 6 April 2016

Six wards more marginal than mine



I am now officially a candidate in the May 5th elections, thus allowing me to defend the seat I won four years ago. Milton ward's voters will decide whether they wish to retain my services, or prefer the allure of another.

I consider my ward a marginal, and here is how marginal it is as compared to other results in 2012 :-

ward
% majority
winner
party

Belfairs
1.9
Stephen Aylen
Ind

Southchurch
2.1
David Garston
Con
Not defending seat
Westborough
2.3
Marimuthu Velmurugan
Ind

Blenheim Park
2.6
Graham Longley
LD
Not defending seat
Prittlewell
3.1
Mary Betson
LD

West Shoebury
3.3
Liz Day
Con
Deceased
Milton
3.6
Julian Ware-Lane
Lab

St Lawrence
7.3
Mark Flewitt
Con

Kursaal
7.4
Anne Jones
Lab
Not defending seat
St Luke's
15.3
Brian Ayling
Ind

Chalkwell
16.1
Ian Robertson
Con

Leigh
18.4
Alan Crystall
LD
Not defending seat
West Leigh
19.1
John Lamb
Con

Shoeburyness
23.0
Mike Assenheim
Ind

Victoria
25.0
Ian Gilbert
Lab

Eastwood Park
33.5
Chris Walker
Con

Thorpe
45.4
Mike Stafford
Ind


You can see that Milton is the seventh most marginal ward being defended in Southend-on-Sea this year, which I suppose means my personal battle is less daunting than others. What is certain is that those with single figure percentage majorities are somewhat more prone to the vagaries of low turnout.

Until nominations are closed I cannot be sure that others have also decided not to defend their seats.

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