Friday, 21 April 2017

April's polls, and a prediction based on them

Here is a summary of April's opinion polls (so far):



Lab
Con
LD
UKIP
Grn
Wednesday, April 19, 2017
YouGov
24
48
12
7

Tuesday, April 18, 2017
ICM
25
46
11
8
4
Monday, April 17, 2017
YouGov
23
44
12
10

Sunday, April 16, 2017
ComRes
25
46
11
9
4
Sunday, April 16, 2017
Opinium
29
38
7
14

Thursday, April 13, 2017
YouGov
25
42
11
11

Monday, April 3, 2017
ICM
25
43
11
11
4

It these numbers were reflected in the actual election then Labour would likely end up with 171 seats, as opposed to the 390 the Conservatives would get. The Liberal Democrats would have 10, Green 1, and UKIP 0.

All eighteen seats in Essex would be blue, a veritable one-party county.

However, there is a long way to go ....

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