Whilst it may superficially appear a night of triumph for
the Tories in Southend-on-Sea, it was actually a long way from a triumph. They
may be set to take control, but do this off the back of the worst performance
locally in more than two decades. They will be enabled by a party (UKIP) that
failed to win a single seat. Such are the vagaries of our electoral system,
rewards often go to those for whom the electorate actually has little appetite.
party
|
vote %
|
seats won
|
Conservative
|
29.7
|
8
|
Independent
|
21.4
|
4
|
Labour
|
19.8
|
4
|
UKIP
|
14.6
|
0
|
Liberal Democrat
|
10.2
|
1
|
Green
|
4.4
|
0
|
I have no record of a lower Conservative vote share. This
is a full 9.6% down on last year, and whilst last year's General Election
masked a general decline in the Tory vote locally, 2016 is in reality a
continuation of a dozen years that has seen their vote plummet. In 2004 they
received 49.5% of the popular vote - a dozen years later and they have managed
to leak a near 20% of this.
Liberal Democrat woes continue - the choice to prop up the
Tories nationally in 2010 is still hurting them. I do not see this trend
reversing any time soon. They are now a one ward party.
It was not a great night for the Greens, no wins and not
anywhere near anywhere. Nonetheless their 4.4% was their second best
performance ever, and they bested the Liberal Democrats in ten wards.
Whilst UKIP might be pleased with their second best vote
share, no victories in a year of the EU referendum does not auger well for
their future.
A loss for the Independents (though not for the Independent
Group) will be a disappointment for them, but they still command a strong
presence in large chunks of the borough.
Labour is making solid progress, and their 19.8% was
their best performance since 2002. They now are in double figures in the
council chamber for the first time in a dozen years, and some good second
places will encourage them.
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