Friday, 3 November 2017

East Southend Tory hopefuls



In the eight wards that make up east Southend (the eight wards that are part of the Rochford and Southend East constituency) there is no Conservative defending in May 2018; none of these wards, when contested in 2014, was won by the Tories.

2014, as some may remember, was the year UKIP won five seats across the borough, and therefore won more seats than any other party. All of their councillors have since either resigned or defected.

The Labour v Conservative contest in 2018 looks like the following :-

ward
Conservative candidate
Labour candidate
Kursaal
Dave Clift
Matt Dent
Milton
Garry Lowen
Cllr Cheryl Nevin
Shoeburyness
Val Jarvis

Southchurch
Dan Nelson
Martin Berry
St Luke’s
Harry Mason
Ian Pope
Thorpe
Cllr James Moyies

Victoria
John Harland
Cllr Margaret Borton
West Shoebury
Denis Garne


Labour has still a few outstanding selections, and will have a full slate within the month. The Tory slate is a mix of experience and newcomers. There is one ex-Labour councillor amongst the Tories; Denis Garne once represented Labour in Kursaal ward and if successful will join Cllr Judith McMahon as a once Labour turned Tory councillor.

ward
Winner in 2014
Party now
Kursaal
UKIP
Independent
Milton
Labour
Labour
Shoeburyness
Independent
Independent
Southchurch
Independent
Independent
St Luke’s
Independent
Independent
Thorpe
Independent
Independent
Victoria
Labour
Labour
West Shoebury
UKIP
Conservative

The movement of some candidates across various parties will damage their chances of being successful in May, and I predict that Cllrs Davies and Moyies will exit the chamber.          

In 2014 the vote share for all 17 wards in Southend-on-Sea totalled as follows :-

30.2% Conservative
19.1% UKIP
19.0% Labour
17.5% Independent
13.0% Liberal Democrat
1.2% Green
0.0% National Front

I expect these numbers to be significantly different come May.

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