Tuesday 15 November 2016

USA presidential elections


Year
Winner
Rep vote %
Dem vote %
2016
Rep (Trump)
47.5
47.7 ++
2012
Dem (Obama)
47.2
51.1
2008
Dem (Obama)
45.7
52.9
2004
Rep (Bush)
50.7
48.3
2000
Rep (Bush)
47.9
48.4 ++
1996
Dem (Clinton)
40.7
49.2
1992
Dem (Clinton)
37.5
43.0
1988
Rep (Bush)
53.4
45.7
1984
Rep (Reagan)
58.8
40.6
1980
Rep (Reagan)
50.8
41.0
1976
Dem (Carter)
48.0
50.1
1972
Rep (Nixon)
60.7
37.5
1968
Rep (Nixon)
43.4
42.7
1964
Dem (Johnson)
38.5
61.1


This table summarises the USA Presidential elections for the last 52 years. This year's election was notable for a winning candidate not harvesting the most votes. Such are the vagaries of the voting system over there. This is the second time the winner finished second in the popular vote in recent years; Al Gore beat George Bush in votes in 2000.

The soft left in the USA can take some comfort from 'winning'  six of the last seven elections, if only peoples' votes are noted. However, before anyone cries 'foul', it must be remembered that voters adapt to the electoral system they are presented with. Assuming a Democratic victory if only a different method of electing the president was in use is fraught with all sorts of not necessarily true assumptions.

Of the fourteen contests, the Republic have actually won eight of them,. If the 1960 and 1964 are included then those two Democrat victories make it an eight-all tie.

The biggest victory (in this selection) belongs to Richard Nixon, who lasted just over a year after his second win.

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